The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMET) has warned farmers against being misled by recent rainfall, stressing that the showers do not mark the true beginning of the planting season and could result in significant crop losses if acted upon too early.
Speaking in Ibadan during the dissemination of the 2026 weather forecast, the Oyo State Meteorological Manager, Mr Emmanuel Udoh, cautioned that what many farmers are seeing now is “deceptive” rain, not the actual onset needed for planting. He explained that early planting based on such rainfall exposes crops to the risk of drought, especially if moisture levels in the soil are not yet sufficient to sustain growth.
Udoh clarified that the proper onset of rain, which signals the safe start of planting, is expected between April 15 and the end of April. According to him, the key factor is not just rainfall but soil readiness. “The variable we look at is when the soil moisture content is up to 50 per cent, which is enough for crops to use for nutrition and growth,” he said.
He added that this stage is what NiMET defines as the real onset of rain, emphasising that farmers should align their planting decisions with this period. “That’s what the agency calls the ‘onset of rain’, and this is the right time farmers should start planting,” Udoh stated, warning that recent rainfall in parts of the state should not tempt farmers into premature action.
The agency also urged farmers to rely strictly on official advisories tailored to different local government areas, noting that accurate timing remains critical for a successful farming season.
Reinforcing this position, the Oyo State Commissioner for Agriculture and Rural Development, Mr Olasunkanmi Olaleye, said weather forecasts are essential tools for farmers to make informed decisions. He noted that such guidance helps to reduce risks associated with climate variability and supports better planning.
While government support continues through measures such as fertiliser distribution and subsidised ploughing, concerns remain among farmers about challenges that could undermine productivity. Representatives at the event highlighted insecurity as a major issue, calling for stronger protection against attacks and farm destruction.
The chairman of the All Farmers Association in the state, Mr Abass Adewunmi, urged authorities to address ongoing conflicts affecting agricultural activities, while also encouraging farmers to remain focused despite market fluctuations. He advised cassava farmers in particular not to be discouraged by falling prices but to take advantage of the coming planting window.
At the same time, farmers stressed that timely access to inputs is crucial, warning that delays in support could slow down progress and limit the benefits of the farming season.
